Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 52 · v1

Severe Weather near Parole

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 13 June 2026 at 01:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 14th strongest of the 259 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued June 12 at 6:14PM EDT until June 12 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC

Urban PEI: 4,615,467 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 11 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.80/1
Coordinates39.0000, -76.6000
Nearest CityParole (6 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)4.6M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-12T22:14:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.07ca3d29b396c5d17ff5be28d9dc10c6

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-12T22:14:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-12T22:48:27.489Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescChesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD; Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD; Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA; Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD; Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD; Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA; Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor; Chester River to Queenstown MD; Eastern Bay; Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River; Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD; Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island; District of Columbia, DC; Anne Arundel, MD; Calvert, MD; Charles, MD; Montgomery, MD; Prince Georges, MD; St. Marys, MD; Albemarle, VA; Arlington, VA; Augusta, VA; Clarke, VA; Culpeper, VA; Fairfax, VA; Fauquier, VA; Greene, VA; Highland, VA; King George, VA; Loudoun, VA; Madison, VA; Nelson, VA; Orange, VA; Page, VA; Prince William, VA; Rappahannock, VA; Rockingham, VA; Shenandoah, VA; Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; Warren, VA; City of Alexandria, VA; City of Charlottesville, VA; City of Fairfax, VA; City of Falls Church, VA; City of Fredericksburg, VA; City of Harrisonburg, VA; City of Manassas, VA; City of Manassas Park, VA; City of Staunton, VA; City of Waynesboro, VA; Hardy, WV; Pendleton, WV
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Watch issued June 12 at 6:14PM EDT until June 12 at 9:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Expires2026-06-12T21:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.07ca3d29b396c5d17ff5be28d9dc10c6e8b91480.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.07ca3d29b396c5d17ff5be28d9dc10c6e8b91480.003.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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